Author Topic: A financial education in "Investment Strategies"  (Read 272 times)

Atash Hagmahani

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A financial education in "Investment Strategies"
« on: August 15, 2008, 11:49:48 PM »
I have started making some educational posts in the Financial Strategies board. You have to be logged in to see it. If you are logged in and can't see it, let me know. Some boards are more restricted than others.  ;)

The post is intended for those who do not know a lot about financial history or theory. Parts of it might be hard to read due to references to things that might not be general knowledge. Feel free to append questions or comments. Let's make this a benefit to our members.
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Lady Lilya

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Re: A financial education in "Investment Strategies"
« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2008, 08:05:09 AM »
Even having majored in Economics, most of the time I can barely follow 10% of what you guys talk about.  :)
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Atash Hagmahani

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Re: A financial education in "Investment Strategies"
« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2008, 10:50:45 AM »
Lilya, your major might very well be the problem! You were almost certainly taught a mixture of classical economic theory and "Keynesian" economic theory. Mike, Andy, and I picked up Austrian economic theory. Most of what each school considers relevant, the other considers irrelevant!

For example, classical economic theory posits the existence of something called "general inflation", where all prices are rising. Austrian economic theory attributes that to a side-effect of the debasement of the currency, and furthermore, states that the side-effect doesn't always show up until long after the money supply has risen.

For example, during the "Roaring 20s", prices rose only modestly. That's because much of the new money went into asset speculation--so in other words it wasn't causing the price of bacon to rise, but rather the price of radio stocks--and also some of it went into producing over-capacity (there were something like 100 or so car manufacturers), which ironically helped keep consumer prices steady.

So both during the 1920s, and also during the 1990s, the supposed "lack of inflation" was interpreted as a signal that it was OK to keep inflating the money supply. The problem is the model was dead-wrong. It didn't create dramatic consumer price inflation, but it cause misallocation of resources. That's the part they always miss.

Another one is the "wage-price spiral", which does not exist. A lot of the inside-the-beltway types are at a loss to explain how it is possible to have rising consumer prices and stagnant or falling wages.

 
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most of the time I can barely follow 10% of what you guys talk about

So ask questions already.  :D
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Lady Lilya

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Re: A financial education in "Investment Strategies"
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2008, 01:44:34 PM »
I think probably all they taught us in school could probably be summed up in about 5 minutes.

Most of what I know about economics comes from reading I have done since then.  I can follow all of those discussions fine.  It is once you start talking about specifics of finance that I get lost because of the terminology. I can look all the words up, but I don't really have a working understanding.
A strong woman won't let anyone get the better of her… But a woman of strength gives the best of herself to everyone.