I just supplied an observation. You're the one who came up with the explanation--which reminded me that we have to remind ourselves that TPTB don't think like we do, so we should not be caught surprised by some of their counter-intuitive moves.
After reading your post, I got to thinking...and I remembered that they consider war to STIMULATE an economy. Paul Krugman said so, openly, not all that long ago.
Chris Martenson says they can't live without Iranian oil; they don't have enough spare capacity:
http://www.chrismartenson.com/blog/iran-oh-no-not-again/69355I'm wondering if they're going to coordinate a recession in Europe (let's face it; "western" economies are discretely centrally-managed) to try to reduce oil prices and consumption. I wonder if that's what the credit downgrades are really about. Problem is, usage doesn't do down all that much in a recession.